UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Flyweight
VS
52%
Johnson
48%
Kavanagh
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:35
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
5'9"70" reachSwitch35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Lone'er
Lone'er Kavanagh
10 – 1
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 52% vs Kavanagh at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson
Kavanagh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
+26
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Kavanagh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
49.0
48.4
Performance Avg
45.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
78
Johnson
Kavanagh
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
4
Body
7
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance19
4Clinch4
3Ground0
Johnson
Kavanagh
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Kavanagh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Johnson
Kavanagh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
78
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Kavanagh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Kavanagh
Striking4.9 / 1.5Volume6.1 / 9.5Grappling1.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Johnson
Strike Zones
Kavanagh
Johnson
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY11LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Kavanagh
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY11LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (65% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Kavanagh
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Kavanagh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.4W4.5W3.7L5.4W2024-112025-032025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

Kavanagh · Last 5

Upcoming
Brandon Royval
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Charles Johnson · Lone'er Kavanagh
← Back to fights