METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Flyweight
VS
52%
Johnson
48%
Kavanagh
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Charles JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:35
def. Lone'er Kavanagh · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 52% vs Kavanagh at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonKavanagh
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Kavanagh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
+27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Kavanagh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
49.0
48.4
Performance Avg
45.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
78
Johnson
Kavanagh
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
4
Body
7
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance19
4Clinch4
3Ground0
Johnson
Kavanagh
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Kavanagh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Johnson
Kavanagh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
78
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Kavanagh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Kavanagh
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
JohnsonKavanagh
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedKavanagh
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (65% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Kavanagh
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Kavanagh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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Kavanagh · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
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L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonRating 3.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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