METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Middleweight
VS
35%
Akhmedov
65%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OA
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
21 – 6
6'0"73" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Omari Akhmedov · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Akhmedov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AkhmedovTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akhmedov
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmedov
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
35.6
47.0
Performance Avg
40.1
36
Quality of Victory
29
100
Momentum Score
49
Akhmedov
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
2.6
6.6
Style: Volume
8.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
21
1
Body
7
3
Leg
10
RangeRange
20Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Akhmedov
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
28/34 fights
Akhmedov
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Akhmedov
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
13%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Akhmedov
Tavares
Striking3.5 / 2.4Volume6.6 / 8.1Grappling2.5 / 2.1Wrestling1.7 / 1.5Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Akhmedov
Strike Zones
Tavares
Akhmedov
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD7BODY10LEGS38 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
21HEAD7BODY10LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (55% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Akhmedov
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Akhmedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom Breese
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian Heinisch
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

Tavares · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eryk Anders
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert Bryczek
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald Meerschaert
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong Park
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Gregory Rodrigues
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Omari Akhmedov · Brad Tavares
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours