METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
48%
Bisping
52%
Belcher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 4:31
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
6'1"75" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
AB
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Michael BispingwinsDecisionR3 · 4:31
def. Alan Belcher · UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Bisping wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bisping at 48% vs Belcher at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bisping has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BispingBelcher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bisping
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
22.4
55.3
Performance Avg
53.0
46
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Bisping
Belcher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bisping
Belcher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Bisping
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Bisping
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
78%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bisping
Belcher
Striking6.4 / 5.6Volume5.4 / 2.1Grappling1.2 / 2.9Wrestling0.8 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure5.6 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Bisping
Strike Zones
Belcher
Bisping
Attacking
29HEAD1BODY4LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Belcher
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD1BODY4LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (85% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the head (33% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bisping
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Belcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.0W4.2W1.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L2006-082007-102009-072012-052013-04
WinLossTrend

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Belcher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

News & Media

Michael Bisping · Alan Belcher
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