Cezar Ferreira vs Thiago Santos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

3 Aug 2013

Middleweight

34%

Ferreira

66%

Santos

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 0:47

Cezar Ferreira

"Mutante"

13 – 8

6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Thiago Santos

"Marreta"

22 – 11

Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"

CFR 32

★ Official Result

Cezar FerreirawinsSubmissionR1 · 0:47

def. Thiago Santos · UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Santos

→

Actual result

Ferreira wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Ferreira has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

FerreiraSantos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ferreira

Santos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

+6'2"

78"+

Reach

76"

41+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Ferreira

Santos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.6

32.2

49.5

Performance Avg

54.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Ferreira

Santos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

9.0

/ 10

4.1

Style: Pressure

7.3

6.5

Style: Volume

2.9

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

11 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Ferreira

Santos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.4

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Ferreira

Santos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/21 fights

Chin rating based on

24/33 fights

Ferreira

Santos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R4

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Ferreira

Santos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

79%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira

Santos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.0

4.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.4

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.3

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Ferreira

Strike Zones

Santos

Ferreira

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Santos

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ferreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira

RND

Santos

0/0R00/0

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07

L · Dec · R3

Ian Heinisch

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

W · Sub · R1

Karl Roberson

Submission

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05

W · Dec · R3

Nate Marquardt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Elias Theodorou

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4

Jamahal Hill

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

L · Dec · R5

Magomed Ankalaev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

W · Dec · R5

Johnny Walker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

L · Dec · R3

Aleksandar Rakic

Decision

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

L · Sub · R3

Glover Teixeira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Thiago Santos

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