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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Middleweight
VS
34%
Ferreira
66%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:47
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Cezar FerreirawinsSubmissionR1 · 0:47
def. Thiago Santos · UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Ferreira has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
32.2
49.5
Performance Avg
54.0
43
Quality of Victory
51
58
Momentum Score
91
Ferreira
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ferreira
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Ferreira
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Ferreira
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
79%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Santos
Striking1.2 / 9.0Volume6.5 / 2.9Grappling4.3 / 0.5Wrestling3.0 / 0.4Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Santos
Ferreira
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Thiago Santos
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