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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Lee
55%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrea
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
1311
5'6"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
JJ
JJ Aldrich
157
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'5"
CFR 47
★ Official Result
JJ AldrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andrea Lee · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
Actual result
Aldrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 45% vs Aldrich at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeeAldrich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lee
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
67"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
47.4
35.8
Performance Avg
42.5
36
Quality of Victory
28
53
Momentum Score
80
Lee
Aldrich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
2.6
5.5
Style: Volume
8.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
23
11
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance25
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lee
Aldrich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lee
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Lee
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
80
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lee
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Aldrich
Striking2.7 / 2.2Volume5.5 / 8.6Grappling3.0 / 2.2Wrestling2.1 / 1.5Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Lee
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Lee
Attacking
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Aldrich
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the body (55% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda Maverick
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia Silva
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee Barber
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Aldrich · Last 5

Upcoming
Regina Tarin
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica Hardy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

News & Media

Andrea Lee · JJ Aldrich
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