UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Lee
52%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrea
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13 – 11
5'6"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
JJ
JJ Aldrich
15 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'5"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldrich

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 48% vs Aldrich at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lee
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
67"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
47.4
35.8
Performance Avg
42.5
36
Quality of Victory
28
53
Momentum Score
80
Lee
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
23
11
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance25
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lee
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Lee
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
80
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lee
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Aldrich
Striking2.7 / 2.2Volume5.5 / 8.6Grappling3.0 / 2.2Wrestling2.1 / 1.5Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Lee
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Lee
Attacking
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Aldrich
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the body (55% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.8W4.5W5.5W5.7L6.3L5.5L5.2W5.2W6.2L6.5L7.0L6.3L6.5L6.1L2018-052020-022022-052024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Aldrich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.7L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.7W5.7W4.3L5.5L5.2W5.5W5.8L4.9W5.2W2016-122019-102022-062025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Aldrich · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Andrea Lee · JJ Aldrich
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