UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Featherweight
VS
91%
Yusuff
9%
Shainis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yusuff
Yusuff is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yusuff has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Striking split: Yusuff throws more volume but Shainis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Yusuff
Shainis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yusuff
Shainis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
5.2
48.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Yusuff
Shainis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
8
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
7Clinch2
0Ground0
Yusuff
Shainis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yusuff
Shainis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Yusuff
Shainis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Yusuff
Shainis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yusuff
Shainis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
YusuffShainis
Strike Zones
Yusuff
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedShainis
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yusuff targets the body (89% of attacks) — Shainis absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Shainis targets the body (100% of attacks) — Yusuff absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yusuff
RND
Shainis
0/0R00/0
Yusuff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Shainis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Yusuff · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Don ShainisRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Shainis · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Sodiq YusuffRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
