UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Swanson
50%
Martinez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:19
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Jonathan
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Swanson

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 50% vs Martinez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Swanson
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
42
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Swanson
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
46.0
48.8
Performance Avg
48.3
40
Quality of Victory
36
56
Momentum Score
63
Swanson
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
19
4
Body
5
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance16
1Clinch7
0Ground6
Swanson
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Swanson
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Swanson
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Martinez
Striking6.2 / 5.3Volume5.2 / 6.1Grappling1.2 / 1.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Swanson
Strike Zones
Martinez
Swanson
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY11LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY5LEGS29 absorbed
Martinez
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY5LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY11LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (66% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swanson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W3.6L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.8W5.9W6.7W6.0L7.2L2018-102020-082022-022023-102024-11
WinLossTrend

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Martinez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Jonathan Martinez
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