UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Moscow, Russia
9 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
56%
Nurmagomedov
44%
Zawada
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:50
AN
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
17 – 4
5'11"72" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 30
DZ
David Zawada
"Sagat"
17 – 7
Submission Hunter2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nurmagomedov

This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 56% vs Zawada at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Zawada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
23.6
35.0
Performance Avg
40.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
13
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
61%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
13
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov
Zawada
Striking1.0 / 0.4Volume9.0 / 0.4Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Nurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Zawada
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Zawada
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Zawada absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Zawada targets the body (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov
RND
Zawada
0/0R00/0

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W6.0L2019-112021-032022-102023-06
WinLossTrend

Zawada · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L2018-072018-112019-112021-012021-09
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhi OmargadzhievRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
David ZawadaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Zawada · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Sub · R1
Abubakar NurmagomedovRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Li JingliangRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07

News & Media

Abubakar Nurmagomedov · David Zawada
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