UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
60%
Patrick
40%
Ray
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Patrick
Patrick holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ray has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ray has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Patrick
Ray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Patrick
Ray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
15.4
41.4
Performance Avg
46.0
32
Quality of Victory
34
58
Momentum Score
46
Patrick
Ray
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Patrick
Ray
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Ray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
11/32 fights
Patrick
Ray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Patrick
Ray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Ray
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
PatrickRay
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRay
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ray targets the head (100% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Ray
0/0R00/0
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Patrick · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Upcoming
Mason JonesUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07