UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Fletcher
43%
Loughran
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fletcher
This is a genuine toss-up — Fletcher at 57% vs Loughran at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fletcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Loughran throws more volume but Fletcher connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Fletcher
Loughran
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fletcher
Loughran
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
37.2
43.0
Performance Avg
35.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
39
Fletcher
Loughran
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
64%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
7
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance12
13Clinch3
0Ground0
Fletcher
Loughran
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fletcher
Loughran
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Fletcher
Loughran
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fletcher
Loughran
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fletcher
Loughran
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
FletcherLoughran
Strike Zones
Fletcher
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLoughran
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fletcher targets the head (63% of attacks) — Loughran absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Loughran targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fletcher absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fletcher
RND
Loughran
0/0R00/0
Fletcher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Loughran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Fletcher · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Rinya NakamuraRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Sub · R2
Zygimantas RamaskaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
Loughran · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Nathan FletcherRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 6.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Angel PachecoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
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