The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Welterweight
VS
22%
O'Neil
78%
Cope
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cope
Cope is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cope has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Cope has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cope has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
O'Neil
Cope
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
72"
40+
Age
43
—
Stance
Orthodox
O'Neil
Cope
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
9.8
0.0
Performance Avg
28.3
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
27
O'Neil
Cope
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
30%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
17
2
Body
6
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance25
2Clinch4
0Ground0
O'Neil
Cope
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neil
Cope
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
O'Neil
Cope
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
O'Neil
Cope
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Neil
Cope
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
O'NeilCope
Strike Zones
O'Neil
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedCope
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Neil targets the head (42% of attacks) — Cope absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Cope targets the head (59% of attacks) — O'Neil absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Neil
RND
Cope
0/0R00/0
Cope · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
O'Neil · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Chris CopeRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Cope · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Chuck O'NeilRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06