UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
15%
Bessette
85%
Barzola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Matt Bessette
"The Mangler"
22 – 9
5'10"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 3
EB
Enrique Barzola
"El Fuerte"
17 – 5
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barzola

Barzola is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barzola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Barzola has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Bessette
Barzola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bessette
Barzola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
15.5
0.0
Performance Avg
49.2
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
30
Bessette
Barzola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
6
Body
2
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
23Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Bessette
Barzola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bessette
Barzola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/31 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Bessette
Barzola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bessette
Barzola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bessette
Barzola
Striking0.0 / 1.3Volume0.0 / 9.3Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Bessette
Strike Zones
Barzola
Bessette
Attacking
17HEAD6BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Barzola
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD6BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bessette targets the head (74% of attacks) — Barzola absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Barzola targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bessette absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bessette
RND
Barzola
0/0R00/0

Bessette · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2018-012018-07
WinLossTrend

Barzola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L4.5W4.7W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.8L2015-112017-052019-032019-10
WinLossTrend

Bessette · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Steven PetersonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

Barzola · Last 5

Upcoming
Rani Yahya
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Bobby MoffettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin AguilarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05

News & Media

Matt Bessette · Enrique Barzola
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