UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Lewis
24%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
77"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
18.7
57.5
Performance Avg
57.8
53
Quality of Victory
53
84
Momentum Score
59
Lewis
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
16 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Lewis
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Lewis
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Lewis
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
16
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
LewisSantos
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03