UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
58%
Kunimoto
42%
Ottow
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kunimoto
This is a genuine toss-up — Kunimoto at 58% vs Ottow at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ottow throws more volume but Kunimoto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kunimoto
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kunimoto
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
14.1
45.8
Performance Avg
40.2
36
Quality of Victory
34
92
Momentum Score
53
Kunimoto
Ottow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch1
3Ground1
Kunimoto
Ottow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kunimoto
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Kunimoto
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Kunimoto
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kunimoto
Ottow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
KunimotoOttow
Strike Zones
Kunimoto
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedOttow
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kunimoto targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the body (50% of attacks) — Kunimoto absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kunimoto
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0
Kunimoto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ottow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Kunimoto · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Sub · R1
Daniel SarafianRating 5Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · R1
Luiz DutraRating 4UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11