UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Featherweight
VS
55%
Swanson
45%
Dawodu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 55% vs Dawodu at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Dawodu throws more volume but Swanson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swanson
Dawodu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Dawodu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
37.1
48.8
Performance Avg
41.5
40
Quality of Victory
29
56
Momentum Score
80
Swanson
Dawodu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
19
11
Body
11
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
18Distance30
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Swanson
Dawodu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Dawodu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Swanson
Dawodu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Swanson
Dawodu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
17%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Dawodu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
SwansonDawodu
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedDawodu
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (42% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Dawodu targets the head (51% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 51% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Dawodu
0/0R00/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dawodu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Dawodu · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09