UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
56%
Petrosyan
44%
Dobson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Armen
Armen Petrosyan
"Superman"
9 – 5
6'3"71" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
AJ
AJ Dobson
7 – 3
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Petrosyan

This is a genuine toss-up — Petrosyan at 56% vs Dobson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Petrosyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Petrosyan
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
71"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrosyan
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
24.0
32.1
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
22
Petrosyan
Dobson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
18
14
Body
5
19
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance17
4Clinch6
0Ground0
Petrosyan
Dobson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrosyan
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Petrosyan
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Petrosyan
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrosyan
Dobson
Striking0.9 / 0.5Volume8.9 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Petrosyan
Strike Zones
Dobson
Petrosyan
Attacking
10HEAD14BODY19LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Dobson
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD14BODY19LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrosyan
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0

Petrosyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.1W6.9L4.5W6.0W2.8L4.2L4.3L2022-022022-102024-022025-03
WinLossTrend

Dobson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L5.5L4.5W2.9L2022-022022-102023-082024-03
WinLossTrend

Petrosyan · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Dobson · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

News & Media

Armen Petrosyan · AJ Dobson
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