METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
56%
Petrosyan
44%
Dobson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Armen PetrosyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. AJ Dobson · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrosyan
→
Actual result
Petrosyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrosyan at 56% vs Dobson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Petrosyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrosyanDobson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrosyan
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
71"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrosyan
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
24.0
32.1
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
22
Petrosyan
Dobson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
18
14
Body
5
19
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance17
4Clinch6
0Ground0
Petrosyan
Dobson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrosyan
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Petrosyan
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Petrosyan
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrosyan
Dobson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PetrosyanDobson
Strike Zones
Petrosyan
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedDobson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrosyan
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0
Petrosyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dobson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Dobson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02