METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
53%
Petrosyan
47%
Dobson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Armen PetrosyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. AJ Dobson · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrosyan
→
Actual result
Petrosyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrosyan at 53% vs Dobson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrosyanDobson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrosyan
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
71"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrosyan
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.3
24.0
32.1
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
22
Petrosyan
Dobson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
0.8
8.9
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
18
14
Body
5
19
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance17
4Clinch6
0Ground0
Petrosyan
Dobson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrosyan
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Petrosyan
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Petrosyan
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrosyan
Dobson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PetrosyanDobson
Strike Zones
Petrosyan
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedDobson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrosyan
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Dobson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounDecision
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