UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Birchak
54%
Entwistle
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Entwistle
This is a genuine toss-up — Birchak at 46% vs Entwistle at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Entwistle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Birchak has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Birchak's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Entwistle has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Birchak
Entwistle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"
Reach
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Birchak
Entwistle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
17.1
38.8
Performance Avg
45.7
43
Quality of Victory
54
53
Momentum Score
35
Birchak
Entwistle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
8%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Birchak
Entwistle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Birchak
Entwistle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Birchak
Entwistle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Birchak
Entwistle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Birchak
Entwistle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
BirchakEntwistle
Strike Zones
Birchak
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedEntwistle
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Birchak targets the head (100% of attacks) — Entwistle absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Birchak
RND
Entwistle
0/0R00/0
Birchak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Entwistle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Birchak · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Gustavo LopezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dileno LopesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
Entwistle · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Alejandro PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Sub · R1
Anthony BirchakRating 5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06