UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Heavyweight
VS
71%
Almeida
29%
Porter
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Porter throws more volume but Almeida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Porter has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Almeida
Porter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Porter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
28.5
61.0
Performance Avg
40.2
53
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
45
Almeida
Porter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
3.2
64%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
17Ground0
Almeida
Porter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Porter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
22
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Almeida
Porter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Almeida
Porter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Porter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
AlmeidaPorter
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedPorter
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (89% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Porter
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Porter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Porter · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02