METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
52%
Andrade
48%
Pennington
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:58
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:58
def. Jessica Andrade · UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 52% vs Pennington at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradePennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+67"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
46.8
49.4
Performance Avg
46.8
45
Quality of Victory
32
79
Momentum Score
80
Andrade
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
6
Body
1
10
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance16
5Clinch1
0Ground2
Andrade
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Andrade
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Andrade
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
23%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
AndradePennington
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPennington
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (68% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
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Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
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