UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
52%
Andrade
48%
Pennington
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:58
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Andrade

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 52% vs Pennington at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Andrade
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+67"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
46.8
49.4
Performance Avg
46.8
45
Quality of Victory
32
79
Momentum Score
80
Andrade
Pennington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
6
Body
1
10
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance16
5Clinch1
0Ground2
Andrade
Pennington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Andrade
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Andrade
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
23%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Pennington
Striking4.7 / 1.4Volume4.9 / 7.5Grappling2.5 / 3.7Wrestling1.8 / 2.6Submission1.8 / 2.3Pressure5.4 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Andrade
Strike Zones
Pennington
Andrade
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY10LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Pennington
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY10LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (68% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L6.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.2L6.7L5.3W5.6L4.5W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.9W5.1W7.0L2013-112016-042019-072022-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
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Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
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W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
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Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6
Submission
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News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Raquel Pennington
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