METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Belfast, United Kingdom
19 Nov 2016
Welterweight
VS
73%
Cummings
27%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:02
AY
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Zak CummingswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:02
def. Alexander Yakovlev · UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
→
Actual result
Cummings wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Cummings is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Yakovlev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CummingsYakovlev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cummings
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Cummings
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
15.4
53.3
Performance Avg
40.2
41
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
36
Cummings
Yakovlev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Cummings
Yakovlev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummings
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Cummings
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
36
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cummings
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummings
Yakovlev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
CummingsYakovlev
Strike Zones
Cummings
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedYakovlev
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the head (64% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummings
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0
Cummings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Yakovlev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cummings · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
Yakovlev · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07