UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Belfast, United Kingdom
19 Nov 2016
Welterweight
VS
73%
Cummings
27%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:02
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 43
AY
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'3"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummings

Cummings is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Yakovlev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cummings
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Cummings
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
15.4
53.3
Performance Avg
40.2
41
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
36
Cummings
Yakovlev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Cummings
Yakovlev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummings
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Cummings
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
36
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cummings
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cummings
Yakovlev
Striking3.4 / 4.0Volume4.6 / 3.3Grappling4.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.9 / 2.4Submission4.0 / 3.3Pressure6.3 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Cummings
Strike Zones
Yakovlev
Cummings
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Yakovlev
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the head (64% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cummings
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Yakovlev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W6.6L3.1L5.2W5.7L2.8L2014-052016-012019-042020-10
WinLossTrend

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

Yakovlev · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07

News & Media

Zak Cummings · Alexander Yakovlev
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