UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Luciano
48%
Alencar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SL
Stephanie Luciano
"Rondinha"
7 – 2
5'6"65" reachOrthodox26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Talita
Talita Alencar
"Problem Child"
8 – 1
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox58" reach5'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Luciano

This is a genuine toss-up — Luciano at 52% vs Alencar at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Luciano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Alencar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Luciano
Alencar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'1"
65"+
Reach
58"
26+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luciano
Alencar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.7
58.3
55.9
Performance Avg
50.0
49
Quality of Victory
30
79
Momentum Score
91
Luciano
Alencar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
31%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
4
4
Body
9
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance11
2Clinch4
1Ground0
Luciano
Alencar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luciano
Alencar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Luciano
Alencar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
91
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Luciano
Alencar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Luciano
Alencar
Striking1.3 / 1.6Volume5.3 / 7.6Grappling5.2 / 3.8Wrestling3.6 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure5.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
Luciano
Strike Zones
Alencar
Luciano
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD9BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Alencar
Attacking
4HEAD9BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Luciano targets the head (73% of attacks) — Alencar absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Alencar targets the body (60% of attacks) — Luciano absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Luciano
RND
Alencar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Luciano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.7W6.2L5.5W2024-082025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Alencar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.9L4.7W6.5W5.1W2023-122024-082025-042025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Luciano · Last 3

W · Sub · R3
Ravena OliveiraRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Alencar · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R3
Ariane CarnelossiRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rayanne dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

News & Media

Stephanie Luciano · Talita Alencar
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