UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Featherweight
VS
75%
Ige
25%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JG
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ige
Ige is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ige throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ige
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ige
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
16.3
46.3
Performance Avg
37.7
42
Quality of Victory
50
53
Momentum Score
33
Ige
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
16
3
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance13
4Clinch4
1Ground4
Ige
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Ige
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ige
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
IgeGriffin
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (64% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (76% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luis SaldanaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
