The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
77%
Duke
23%
Morgan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Jessamyn Duke
"The Gun"
35
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
PM
Peggy Morgan
"The Daywalker"
44
Well-Rounded46 yrs6'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duke

Duke is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

Duke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Duke
Morgan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Duke
Morgan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
2.7
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Duke
Morgan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
8
14
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance5
17Clinch0
0Ground3
Duke
Morgan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Morgan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Duke
Morgan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Duke
Morgan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duke
Morgan
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Duke
Strike Zones
Morgan
Duke
Attacking
25HEAD14BODY0LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Morgan
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD14BODY0LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (64% of attacks) — Morgan absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Morgan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duke
RND
Morgan
0/0R00/0

Duke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-042014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Duke · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

Morgan · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

News & Media

Jessamyn Duke · Peggy Morgan
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