METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
77%
Duke
23%
Morgan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessamyn DukewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Peggy Morgan · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duke
→
Actual result
Duke wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Duke is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
Duke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DukeMorgan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duke
Morgan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
—
Duke
Morgan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
2.7
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Duke
Morgan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
8
14
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance5
17Clinch0
0Ground3
Duke
Morgan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Morgan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Duke
Morgan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Duke
Morgan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duke
Morgan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DukeMorgan
Strike Zones
Duke
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMorgan
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (64% of attacks) — Morgan absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Morgan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duke
RND
Morgan
0/0R00/0
Duke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Duke · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
Morgan · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11