UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Lapilus
43%
Loughran
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Taylor
Taylor Lapilus
"Double Impact"
21 – 4
5'6"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Caolan
Caolan Loughran
"The Don"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lapilus

This is a genuine toss-up — Lapilus at 57% vs Loughran at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Loughran throws more volume but Lapilus connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Lapilus
Loughran
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
68"
34
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lapilus
Loughran
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.7
37.2
48.0
Performance Avg
35.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
39
Lapilus
Loughran
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
12
7
Body
4
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
33Distance20
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Lapilus
Loughran
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lapilus
Loughran
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Lapilus
Loughran
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
39
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lapilus
Loughran
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lapilus
Loughran
Striking3.2 / 1.0Volume8.2 / 9.0Grappling2.0 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Lapilus
Strike Zones
Loughran
Lapilus
Attacking
25HEAD7BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY5LEGS21 absorbed
Loughran
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY5LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD7BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lapilus targets the head (71% of attacks) — Loughran absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Loughran targets the head (57% of attacks) — Lapilus absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lapilus
RND
Loughran
0/0R00/0

Lapilus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.6W7.0L4.5W4.5W2015-042015-112023-092024-062024-09
WinLossTrend

Loughran · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L4.5W6.2L5.2W2023-092024-032024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Lapilus · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Leandro IssaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

Loughran · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Nathan FletcherRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Angel PachecoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09

News & Media

Taylor Lapilus · Caolan Loughran
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