UFC 46: Supernatural
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2004
Welterweight
VS
58%
St-Pierre
42%
Parisyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 58% vs Parisyan at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
St-Pierre has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisyan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
17.7
67.2
Performance Avg
46.5
51
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
79
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
7
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
11Ground0
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/35 fights
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
79
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Parisyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
St-PierreParisyan
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedParisyan
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (47% of attacks) — Parisyan absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Parisyan
0/0R00/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Parisyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun KimUFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05