UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Welterweight
VS
44%
Means
56%
Holland
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holland
This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 44% vs Holland at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Means throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Means
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
47.0
45.2
Performance Avg
49.3
41
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
51
Means
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
5
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Means
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Means
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
69%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Holland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
MeansHolland
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHolland
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the body (71% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (56% of attacks) — Means absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
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Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
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