METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Esparza
49%
Moroz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carla EsparzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maryna Moroz · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Esparza
→
Actual result
Esparza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Esparza at 51% vs Moroz at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EsparzaMoroz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Esparza
Moroz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+67"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Esparza
Moroz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
39.1
45.9
Performance Avg
40.3
35
Quality of Victory
34
60
Momentum Score
90
Esparza
Moroz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.8
7.7
Style: Volume
6.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance9
2Clinch0
4Ground1
Esparza
Moroz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Esparza
Moroz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Esparza
Moroz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Esparza
Moroz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Esparza
Moroz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
EsparzaMoroz
Strike Zones
Esparza
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMoroz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the head (55% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Moroz targets the head (90% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Esparza
RND
Moroz
0/0R00/0
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Moroz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaSubmission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya AgapovaSubmission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03