UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Featherweight
VS
67%
Elkins
33%
Minner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elkins
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Minner has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Elkins throws more volume but Minner connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Minner has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elkins
Minner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Minner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
22.0
46.3
Performance Avg
37.0
35
Quality of Victory
40
66
Momentum Score
45
Elkins
Minner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
77%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Elkins
Minner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Minner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
6/40 fights
Elkins
Minner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Elkins
Minner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Minner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
ElkinsMinner
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMinner
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Minner absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Minner
0/0R00/0
Elkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Minner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Minner · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Darren ElkinsRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Sub · R1
TJ LaramieRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09