UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Welterweight
VS
94%
Gall
6%
Williams
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gall
Gall is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Gall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gall's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gall
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Gall
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
2.8
47.5
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Gall
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance13
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Gall
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gall
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Gall
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gall
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gall
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GallWilliams
Strike Zones
Gall
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gall targets the head (82% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (54% of attacks) — Gall absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gall
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Gall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Gall · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jordan WilliamsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
Williams · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10