UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Bantamweight
VS
40%
Jabouin
60%
Arantes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arantes
Arantes holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Jabouin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Arantes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Jabouin throws more volume but Arantes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jabouin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arantes has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jabouin
Arantes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jabouin
Arantes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
17.8
35.0
Performance Avg
43.8
25
Quality of Victory
43
55
Momentum Score
64
Jabouin
Arantes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch1
3Ground3
Jabouin
Arantes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jabouin
Arantes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/28 fights
Jabouin
Arantes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Jabouin
Arantes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jabouin
Arantes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
JabouinArantes
Strike Zones
Jabouin
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedArantes
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jabouin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Arantes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jabouin absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jabouin
RND
Arantes
0/0R00/0
Jabouin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Arantes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jabouin · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Felipe ArantesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08