Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Mexico City, Mexico

24 Feb 2024

Flyweight

99%

Chairez

Lacerda

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 2:17

Edgar Chairez

"Puro Chicali"

13 – 6

5'7"71" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight win streakSubmission Hunter

CFR 59

Daniel Lacerda

"Miojo"

11 – 6

Well-Rounded5-fight slide30 yrsSwitch70" reach5'6"

CFR 1

★ Official Result

Edgar ChairezwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:17

def. Daniel Lacerda · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Chairez

→

Actual result

Chairez wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Chairez is a strong favourite at 99% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chairez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Risk flags

Lacerda has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ChairezLacerda

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Chairez

Lacerda

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'6"

71"+

Reach

70"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Chairez

Lacerda

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

58.5

0.6

54.7

Performance Avg

0.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Chairez

Lacerda

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.3

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

7.3

Style: Pressure

0.0

3.3

Style: Volume

0.0

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance2

0Clinch0

1Ground2

Chairez

Lacerda

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.6

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

4.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

7.5

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Chairez

Lacerda

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/19 fights

Chin rating based on

6/17 fights

Chairez

Lacerda

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

5-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Upcoming

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

Chairez

Lacerda

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chairez

Lacerda

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.0

6.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

4.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

7.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.0

3.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.0

Chairez

Strike Zones

Lacerda

Chairez

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Lacerda

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Chairez targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Lacerda absorbs 44% of strikes there

🎯Lacerda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Chairez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chairez

RND

Lacerda

0/0R00/0

Chairez · Last 5

Upcoming

Tim Elliott

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

W · Sub · R1

Bruno Silva

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Felipe Bunes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Sub · R1

CJ Vergara

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Joshua Van

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Lacerda · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Edgar Chairez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Upcoming

Edgar Chairez

Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

L · KO · R2

CJ Vergara

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

L · KO · R1

Victor Altamirano

KO/TKO

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

L · Sub · R1

Francisco Figueiredo

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Edgar Chairez · Daniel Lacerda

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