★ Championship Bout · 15 Heavyweight Tournament
UFC 15: Collision Course
Bay St. Louis, USA
17 Oct 1997
15 Heavyweight Tournament
VS
58%
Kerr
42%
Cason
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:53
MK
Mark Kerr
"The Smashing Machine"
15 – 11
6'3"Switch57 yrs4-fight win streakStriker
CFR 32
DC
Dwayne Cason
1 – 1
Knockout ArtistNaNOrthodox5'10"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kerr

This is a genuine toss-up — Kerr at 58% vs Cason at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kerr has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Kerr has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Kerr
Cason
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
57
Age
—
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kerr
Cason
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.0
22.8
88.0
Performance Avg
56.0
80
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
71
Kerr
Cason
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Kerr
Cason
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kerr
Cason
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2 fights
Kerr
Cason
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Kerr
Cason
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kerr
Cason
Striking7.0 / 10.0Volume2.0 / 1.0Grappling4.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Kerr
Strike Zones
Cason
Kerr
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Cason
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kerr targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cason absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kerr
RND
Cason
0/0R00/0

Kerr · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1997-071997-071997-101997-10
WinLossTrend

Cason · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L1997-101997-10
WinLossTrend

Kerr · Last 4

W · Sub · R1
Dwayne CasonRating 5
Submission
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · KO · R1
Greg StottRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · Sub · R1
Dan BobishRating 5
Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
W · KO · R1
Moti HorensteinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07

Cason · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Mark KerrRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · KO · R1
Houston DorrRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10

News & Media

Mark Kerr · Dwayne Cason
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