METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 15 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Ultimate Fighter 15 Lightweight Tournament
VS
66%
Chiesa
34%
Iaquinta
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:47
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
20 – 7
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 26
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:47
def. Al Iaquinta · The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Chiesa holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Iaquinta has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Iaquinta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaIaquinta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
25.8
53.3
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
38
50
Momentum Score
51
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
4.9
4.6
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
9
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
51
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Chiesa
Iaquinta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
9
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiesa
Iaquinta
Striking1.4 / 5.6Volume4.6 / 5.6Grappling5.8 / 1.3Wrestling4.0 / 0.9Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Chiesa
Strike Zones
Iaquinta
Chiesa
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Iaquinta
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (56% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (75% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiesa
RND
Iaquinta
0/0R00/0

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko Price
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max Griffin
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony Ferguson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin Holland
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hooker
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald Cerrone
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

News & Media

Michael Chiesa · Al Iaquinta
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