UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
San Antonio, USA
25 Mar 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
50%
Holm
50%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Yana
Yana Santos
17 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holm

This is a genuine toss-up — Holm at 50% vs Santos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holm has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holm
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
37.0
46.5
Performance Avg
38.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
55
Holm
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
3Clinch2
2Ground0
Holm
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Holm
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
55
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holm
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Santos
Striking3.6 / 1.2Volume7.1 / 9.2Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 1.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
Holm
Strike Zones
Santos
Holm
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the body (100% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Holm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W4.5W5.1W4.9L6.9L6.7L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.7L5.1W5.3W5.9L4.6W4.9L2015-022016-072018-062022-052024-04
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L4.8W4.9W2.3L5.6L6.2L5.0W5.4W5.8W2018-032019-122021-072024-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly HolmRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

News & Media

Holly Holm · Yana Santos
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