The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jun 2007
Middleweight
VS
87%
Leites
13%
Sword
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leites
Leites is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Leites has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Sword has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Leites
Sword
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"
Reach
44+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Sword
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
2.5
48.8
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Leites
Sword
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Leites
Sword
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Sword
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
1/15 fights
Leites
Sword
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leites
Sword
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Sword
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LeitesSword
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSword
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Sword absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sword targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Sword
0/0R00/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Sword · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · 2007-06