METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
64%
Aldo
36%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jose AldowinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldo
→
Actual result
Aldo wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Aldo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoEdgar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
25.4
53.6
Performance Avg
48.0
49
Quality of Victory
39
40
Momentum Score
68
Aldo
Edgar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
4.2
6.9
Style: Volume
6.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
0
Body
6
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Aldo
Edgar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Aldo
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Aldo
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
AldoEdgar
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (44% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Mario BautistaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12