UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
58%
O'Neill
42%
Fernandes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Neill
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Neill at 58% vs Fernandes at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Neill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
O'Neill
Fernandes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
66"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
O'Neill
Fernandes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
42.1
56.5
Performance Avg
40.9
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
40
O'Neill
Fernandes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
3
Body
3
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
O'Neill
Fernandes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neill
Fernandes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
O'Neill
Fernandes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
40
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
O'Neill
Fernandes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Neill
Fernandes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
O'NeillFernandes
Strike Zones
O'Neill
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFernandes
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Neill targets the head (64% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Fernandes targets the head (38% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Neill
RND
Fernandes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
O'Neill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Fernandes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
O'Neill · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosRating 6.2Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Fernandes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Casey O'NeillRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Wang CongRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Carli JudiceRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Tereza BledaRating 5.5Decision
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