METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Welterweight
VS
45%
Burns
55%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Gilbert BurnswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:15
def. Neil Magny · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Burns wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 45% vs Magny at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurnsMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burns
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+80"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
49.4
48.1
Performance Avg
48.3
40
Quality of Victory
37
28
Momentum Score
81
Burns
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.9
Style: Volume
5.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Burns
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
38/46 fights
Burns
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
81
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Burns
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
8
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
BurnsMagny
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMagny
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (80% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11