UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Welterweight
VS
46%
Burns
54%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 46% vs Magny at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Burns
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+80"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
47.5
48.1
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
36
28
Momentum Score
75
Burns
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Burns
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Burns
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
75
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Burns
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
42%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burns
Magny
Striking3.2 / 4.2Volume4.9 / 6.0Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 1.3Pressure5.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Burns
Strike Zones
Magny
Burns
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (80% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burns
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Gilbert Burns · Neil Magny
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