UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
54%
Shahbazyan
46%
Muniz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:58
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 54% vs Muniz at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Muniz has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+78"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
53.7
56.3
Performance Avg
47.7
51
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
92
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
6
3
Body
2
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
12Distance15
1Clinch0
12Ground0
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/32 fights
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
92
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Muniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
ShahbazyanMuniz
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMuniz
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (80% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Muniz targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Muniz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02