UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Middleweight
VS
44%
Byrd
56%
Pitolo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pitolo
This is a genuine toss-up — Byrd at 44% vs Pitolo at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Pitolo throws more volume but Byrd connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Byrd's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pitolo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Byrd
Pitolo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Byrd
Pitolo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
21.1
42.4
Performance Avg
39.7
54
Quality of Victory
55
43
Momentum Score
0
Byrd
Pitolo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
18
1
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch5
0Ground8
Byrd
Pitolo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Byrd
Pitolo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
50
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Byrd
Pitolo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Byrd
Pitolo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Byrd
Pitolo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
ByrdPitolo
Strike Zones
Byrd
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedPitolo
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Byrd targets the head (83% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Pitolo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Byrd absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Byrd
RND
Pitolo
0/0R00/0
Byrd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Pitolo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Byrd · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Maki PitoloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Sub · R1
John PhillipsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezRating 4.5Submission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06