UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
45%
Silva
55%
Dalby
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CS
Claudio Silva
"Hannibal"
14 – 4
5'11"71" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 34
Nicolas
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
24 – 6
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dalby

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 45% vs Dalby at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Dalby throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Silva
Dalby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Dalby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.7
41.4
49.4
Performance Avg
41.9
41
Quality of Victory
29
92
Momentum Score
45
Silva
Dalby
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
2
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Silva
Dalby
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Dalby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Silva
Dalby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Dalby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
13%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Dalby
Striking1.3 / 2.5Volume4.5 / 8.2Grappling5.8 / 2.1Wrestling4.0 / 1.5Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
Silva
Strike Zones
Dalby
Silva
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Dalby
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the body (40% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Dalby targets the head (79% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Dalby
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.6W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.7L5.8L2014-032018-052019-082021-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Dalby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.6L4.5W4.7W5.5W7.0W7.1L3.6L4.5W2015-052020-112023-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Cole WilliamsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Sub · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5
Submission
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Dalby · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5
Decision
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KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
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W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7
KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5
Decision
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News & Media

Claudio Silva · Nicolas Dalby
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