METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
22%
Condit
78%
Chiesa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:56
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR2 · 0:56
def. Carlos Condit · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Chiesa is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiesa has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditChiesa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
Chiesa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Condit
Chiesa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
50.7
47.8
Performance Avg
53.3
48
Quality of Victory
43
20
Momentum Score
50
Condit
Chiesa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.5
Style: Volume
4.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Condit
Chiesa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
0
Submission wins
9
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Condit
Chiesa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Condit
Chiesa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Condit
Chiesa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
9
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
Chiesa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ConditChiesa
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedChiesa
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
Chiesa
0/0R00/0
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraSubmission
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Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
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