UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Bantamweight
VS
79%
Munhoz
21%
Sanders
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Munhoz
Munhoz is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Munhoz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Munhoz throws more volume but Sanders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Munhoz
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+72"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munhoz
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
11.5
46.2
Performance Avg
28.3
44
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
40
Munhoz
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Munhoz
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munhoz
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Munhoz
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · R1
Munhoz
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Munhoz
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MunhozSanders
Strike Zones
Munhoz
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSanders
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Munhoz targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Munhoz
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Sanders · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Felipe ArantesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Upcoming
Pedro MunhozUFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · R1
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