UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Manila, Philippines
16 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
56%
Mousasi
44%
Philippou
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mousasi
This is a genuine toss-up — Mousasi at 56% vs Philippou at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mousasi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mousasi's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mousasi
Philippou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
73"
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mousasi
Philippou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
18.3
59.2
Performance Avg
48.5
49
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
62
Mousasi
Philippou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
36%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
3
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance2
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Mousasi
Philippou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mousasi
Philippou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Mousasi
Philippou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
62
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Mousasi
Philippou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mousasi
Philippou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
MousasiPhilippou
Strike Zones
Mousasi
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPhilippou
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mousasi targets the head (77% of attacks) — Philippou absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Philippou targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mousasi
RND
Philippou
0/0R00/0
Mousasi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Philippou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mousasi · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Philippou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gegard MousasiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · KO · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12