METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
90%
Tafa
10%
Christian
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
★ Official Result
Junior TafawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:42
def. Kevin Christian · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tafa
→
Actual result
Tafa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Tafa is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Christian has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TafaChristian
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tafa
Christian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
75"
Reach
+80"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Christian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
5.3
48.3
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Tafa
Christian
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
0
Body
2
1
Leg
9
RangeRange
10Distance13
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Tafa
Christian
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Tafa
Christian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Tafa
Christian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Tafa
Christian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Christian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TafaChristian
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedChristian
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (95% of attacks) — Christian absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Christian targets the legs (69% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Christian
0/0R00/0
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Christian · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11