METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
95%
Matthews
5%
Akman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rostem Akman · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Matthews is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matthews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsAkman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Akman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Matthews
Akman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
2.7
48.4
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Matthews
Akman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
9
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance1
5Clinch4
0Ground0
Matthews
Akman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Akman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Matthews
Akman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Matthews
Akman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Akman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MatthewsAkman
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAkman
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (42% of attacks) — Akman absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Akman targets the body (60% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Akman
0/0R00/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Akman · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoDecision
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