UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Rua
36%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 4:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rua
Rua holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Vera has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Vera throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vera has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rua
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+78"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
19.6
49.7
Performance Avg
48.3
51
Quality of Victory
45
46
Momentum Score
100
Rua
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
2
Body
9
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance14
5Clinch6
0Ground0
Rua
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Rua
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Rua
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
63%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
RuaVera
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedVera
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (75% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the body (45% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Vera · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Ben RothwellRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R4
Mauricio RuaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Upcoming
Thiago SilvaUFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03