METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
61%
Akhmedov
39%
Moraes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:18
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:18
def. Omari Akhmedov · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Akhmedov
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Akhmedov holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Moraes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moraes has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AkhmedovMoraes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akhmedov
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmedov
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
19.0
47.0
Performance Avg
47.0
36
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
95
Akhmedov
Moraes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.0
34%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Akhmedov
Moraes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Akhmedov
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
95
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Akhmedov
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akhmedov
Moraes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
AkhmedovMoraes
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMoraes
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (88% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akhmedov
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Akhmedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02