UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
31%
Wilson
69%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cutelaba
Cutelaba holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Wilson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wilson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Cutelaba throws more volume but Wilson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wilson
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
38
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Wilson
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
40.5
46.0
Performance Avg
47.1
60
Quality of Victory
47
36
Momentum Score
26
Wilson
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
20
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance18
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Wilson
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wilson
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Wilson
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Wilson
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wilson
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
WilsonCutelaba
Strike Zones
Wilson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wilson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (83% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wilson
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Wilson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Oskar PiechotaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5KO/TKO
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Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
Navajo StirlingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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