METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Denver, USA
28 Jan 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Silva
55%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Hd
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Jordan JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Henrique da Silva · UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 45% vs Johnson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+79"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
22.8
44.7
Performance Avg
58.7
52
Quality of Victory
31
65
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground9
Silva
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Silva
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
SilvaJohnson
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gokhan SakiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Sub · R2
Joachim ChristensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Johnson · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Adam YandievRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Adam MilsteadRating 4.5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Marcel FortunaRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Henrique da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01