UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Denver, USA
28 Jan 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Silva
55%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Hd
Henrique da Silva
"Frankenstein"
14 – 5
6'3"76" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 19
JJ
Jordan Johnson
10 – 0
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 45% vs Johnson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+79"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
22.8
44.7
Performance Avg
58.7
52
Quality of Victory
31
65
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground9
Silva
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Silva
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Johnson
Striking5.7 / 2.0Volume0.7 / 8.0Grappling4.0 / 3.8Wrestling2.8 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure8.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Johnson
Silva
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.2W5.2W3.5L5.5L1.8L1.5L2016-062016-102016-122017-012017-062017-09
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2017-012017-072018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Gokhan SakiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Sub · R2
Joachim ChristensenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Johnson · Last 4

W · Sub · R2
Adam YandievRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Adam MilsteadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Marcel FortunaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Henrique da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

News & Media

Henrique da Silva · Jordan Johnson
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